Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 27-23 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 64.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 79.4%
Neutral zone
Stoll 75.5%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Stoll
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
23
(50 meetings)
27
23
Stoll
Horcoff
Last 10: Stoll 5-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
9
8
Stoll
Horcoff
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
11
10
Stoll
Horcoff
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
7
5
Stoll
Horcoff
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
50.6% (3,133)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
51.4% (555)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
43.0% (567)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Stoll
Horcoff
Home
57.2% (3,285)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Stoll
Horcoff
P1
54.2%
48.2%
P2
55.8%
49.5%
P3
55.3%
50.9%
OT
52.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |