Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Matthias 43.7% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 76.8%
Defensive zone
Matthias 74.4%
Neutral zone
Matthias 75.3%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Stoll
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stoll
Matthias
Last 7: Stoll 2-5 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
3
Stoll
Matthias
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
2
Stoll
Matthias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
41.3% (358)
+15.6%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
62.5% (16)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
42.4% (59)
+4.9%
On even strength, Stoll has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Stoll is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Stoll shoots right. Matthias is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Stoll
Matthias
Home
57.3% (618)
48.5% (198)
Away
52.2% (621)
37.0% (235)
By Period
Stoll
Matthias
P1
54.5%
41.9%
P2
57.2%
47.5%
P3
53.4%
37.5%
OT
35.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |