Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stoll wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Gionta 43.1% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 81.5%
Defensive zone
Stoll 95.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 94.0%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Stoll
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Stoll
Gionta
Last 8: Stoll 7-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
5
1
Stoll
Gionta
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
41.8% (612)
+15.9%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
61.5% (13)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
40.9% (66)
+13.0%
On even strength, Stoll has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Stoll shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Stoll
Gionta
Home
59.6% (421)
41.3% (344)
Away
54.5% (422)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Stoll
Gionta
P1
55.4%
39.8%
P2
55.9%
46.8%
P3
59.9%
39.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |