Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 50.0%
Defensive zone
Stoll 88.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 78.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Stoll
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Stoll
Stamkos
Last 10: Stoll 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
5
1
Stoll
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
2
Stoll
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
50.4% (9,799)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
55.1% (1,725)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
49.7% (825)
+1.0%
On even strength, Stoll has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Stoll shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stamkos
Home
57.2% (3,285)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Stoll
Stamkos
P1
54.2%
49.1%
P2
55.8%
52.7%
P3
55.3%
50.9%
OT
52.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |