Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Stamkos 46.8% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 87.5%
Defensive zone
Stoll 92.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 82.9%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Stoll
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stoll
Stamkos
Last 5: Stoll 4-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
0
Stoll
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Stoll
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
46.0% (767)
+10.6%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
50.0% (126)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
46.2% (26)
+11.9%
On power play, Stoll has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Stoll is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Stoll shoots right. Stamkos is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stamkos
Home
58.6% (662)
49.7% (441)
Away
56.3% (648)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Stoll
Stamkos
P1
58.1%
43.7%
P2
56.4%
50.2%
P3
58.4%
45.1%
OT
43.8%
46.4%
Final 5 min
59.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |