Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Connolly 47.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 74.4%
Defensive zone
Stoll 93.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 91.1%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Stoll
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Stoll
Connolly
Last 10: Stoll 8-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
2
Stoll
Connolly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
47.4% (1,307)
+8.6%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
50.2% (251)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
41.9% (186)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Stoll shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Stoll
Connolly
Home
57.2% (3,285)
48.5% (870)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Stoll
Connolly
P1
54.2%
47.4%
P2
55.8%
47.7%
P3
55.3%
47.0%
OT
52.7%
37.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |