Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Connolly 48.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 79.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 91.3%
Neutral zone
Stoll 94.6%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Stoll
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Stoll
Connolly
Last 10: Stoll 8-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
1
Stoll
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
47.8% (605)
+8.4%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
51.2% (86)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
55.1% (89)
-3.6%
On even strength, Stoll has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Stoll is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Stoll shoots right. Connolly is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Stoll
Connolly
Home
60.0% (620)
51.1% (358)
Away
49.7% (584)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Stoll
Connolly
P1
55.4%
48.7%
P2
54.6%
48.1%
P3
54.6%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |