Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Stapleton 46.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 58.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 72.0%
Neutral zone
Stoll 52.6%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Stoll
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stoll
Stapleton
Last 8: Stoll 4-4 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Stapleton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Stapleton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
2
Stoll
Stapleton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
44.0% (207)
+12.2%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
66.7% (3)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
33.3% (3)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Stoll is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Stoll shoots right. Stapleton is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stapleton
Home
60.0% (620)
44.9% (107)
Away
49.7% (584)
45.0% (109)
By Period
Stoll
Stapleton
P1
55.4%
59.4%
P2
54.6%
39.0%
P3
54.6%
38.7%
Final 5 min
56.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |