Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 86.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 62.9%
Neutral zone
Stoll 87.7%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Stoll
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stoll
Plekanec
Last 7: Stoll 5-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Stoll
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
49.8% (1,095)
+6.4%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
49.4% (174)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
47.3% (364)
+4.2%
On even strength, Stoll has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Plekanec is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Stoll
Plekanec
Home
60.0% (620)
49.4% (789)
Away
49.7% (584)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Stoll
Plekanec
P1
55.4%
51.9%
P2
54.6%
48.8%
P3
54.6%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
39.6%
Final 5 min
56.4%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |