Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 26-22 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 68.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 54.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 52.1%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Stoll
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
26
(48 meetings)
22
26
Stoll
Bozak
Last 10: Stoll 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
8
13
Stoll
Bozak
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
9
8
Stoll
Bozak
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Stoll
Bozak
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
53.7% (9,596)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
55.2% (1,990)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
48.0% (1,094)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Stoll shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bozak
Home
57.2% (3,285)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Stoll
Bozak
P1
54.2%
53.2%
P2
55.8%
52.8%
P3
55.3%
54.5%
OT
52.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |