Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.1% vs 56.4%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Bozak 55.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 90.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 66.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 61.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Stoll
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stoll
Bozak
Last 5: Stoll 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Stoll
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Stoll
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
56.4% (837)
+1.3%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
60.8% (186)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
33.3% (36)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Stoll shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Stoll
Bozak
Home
59.6% (421)
58.7% (516)
Away
54.5% (422)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Stoll
Bozak
P1
55.4%
55.7%
P2
55.9%
53.4%
P3
59.9%
59.7%
OT
33.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
60.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |