Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Johnson 48.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 80.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 89.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 80.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Stoll
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stoll
Johnson
Last 7: Stoll 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Stoll
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
0
Stoll
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
48.7% (941)
+8.2%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
49.6% (133)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
44.8% (201)
+2.5%
On even strength, Stoll has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Stoll is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Stoll shoots right. Johnson is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Stoll
Johnson
Home
57.3% (618)
50.5% (588)
Away
52.2% (621)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Stoll
Johnson
P1
54.5%
49.4%
P2
57.2%
47.3%
P3
53.4%
48.1%
OT
35.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
58.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |