Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 56.5%). Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Sobotka 55.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 52.4%
Defensive zone
Stoll 59.9%
Neutral zone
Stoll 60.6%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Stoll
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stoll
Sobotka
Last 10: Stoll 6-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
2
3
Stoll
Sobotka
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
1
Stoll
Sobotka
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
57.0% (398)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
63.9% (36)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
50.0% (72)
-2.8%
On power play, Sobotka has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (539).
Stoll shoots right. Sobotka is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Stoll
Sobotka
Home
57.3% (358)
58.3% (252)
Away
54.9% (388)
54.7% (254)
By Period
Stoll
Sobotka
P1
47.8%
55.6%
P2
59.5%
58.5%
P3
58.1%
56.9%
OT
85.7%
14.3%
Final 5 min
56.8%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |