Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.5% vs Arnott 50.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 67.9%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 74.0%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 55.3%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Dubinsky
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dubinsky
Arnott
Last 5: Dubinsky 3-2 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Arnott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Dubinsky
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
Arnott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (234)
50.5% (667)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
49.4% (89)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (106)
60.0% (5)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Dubinsky is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Dubinsky shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Arnott
Home
52.2% (182)
53.1% (431)
Away
51.6% (213)
46.7% (338)
By Period
Dubinsky
Arnott
P1
48.1%
46.9%
P2
54.5%
52.9%
P3
51.9%
50.4%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.9%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |