Scouting Report
Chris Drury holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.5% vs Arnott 50.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 80.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 71.2%
Neutral zone
Arnott 62.2%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Drury
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Drury
Arnott
Last 5: Drury 2-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Drury
Arnott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Arnott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Arnott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (177)
49.0% (777)
+7.5%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
58.1% (93)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (36)
30.0% (10)
+31.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Drury is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Drury shoots right. Arnott is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Drury
Arnott
Home
60.0% (130)
51.1% (460)
Away
51.6% (95)
49.3% (434)
By Period
Drury
Arnott
P1
52.8%
45.3%
P2
49.3%
54.2%
P3
65.8%
49.8%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
58.0%▬
58.0%
56.4%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Chris Drury |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Chris Drury |