Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brière on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Brière wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 49.0% vs Arnott 50.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 56.3%
Defensive zone
Arnott 57.1%
Neutral zone
Brière 53.2%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Brière
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Brière
Arnott
Last 7: Brière 5-2 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brière
1
0
Brière
Arnott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Brière
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
4
1
Brière
Arnott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (682)
50.5% (667)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.9% (133)
49.4% (89)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Brière is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Brière shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Brière
Arnott
Home
49.9% (429)
53.1% (431)
Away
47.8% (402)
46.7% (338)
By Period
Brière
Arnott
P1
51.4%
46.9%
P2
46.1%
52.9%
P3
47.8%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |