Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.7% vs Arnott 50.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moss 58.2%
Defensive zone
Moss 84.7%
Neutral zone
Moss 70.3%
Result
David Moss favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Moss
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Moss
Arnott
Last 8: Moss 2-6 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Arnott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
2
Moss
Arnott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
3
Moss
Arnott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (158)
50.5% (667)
-6.8%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
49.4% (89)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
60.0% (5)
-25.1%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Moss is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Moss shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Moss
Arnott
Home
52.6% (95)
53.1% (431)
Away
34.4% (125)
46.7% (338)
By Period
Moss
Arnott
P1
37.7%
46.9%
P2
42.6%
52.9%
P3
47.2%
50.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.3%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |