Scouting Report
Jamal Mayers holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mayers on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mayers wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mayers 55.2% vs Arnott 50.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mayers 53.0%
Defensive zone
Mayers 87.1%
Neutral zone
Mayers 76.1%
Result
Jamal Mayers favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Mayers
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Mayers
Arnott
Last 9: Mayers 6-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mayers
1
0
Mayers
Arnott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mayers
3
1
Mayers
Arnott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Mayers
Arnott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mayers
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (459)
50.5% (667)
+6.8%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
49.4% (89)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (70)
60.0% (5)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Mayers is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Mayers shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Mayers
Arnott
Home
61.6% (263)
53.1% (431)
Away
51.2% (295)
46.7% (338)
By Period
Mayers
Arnott
P1
56.1%
46.9%
P2
55.7%
52.9%
P3
56.2%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mayers
52.0%▼
61.0%
56.1%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jamal Mayers |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jamal Mayers |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |