Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Spezza 54.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 63.7%
Defensive zone
Arnott 66.3%
Neutral zone
Arnott 65.0%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Arnott
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Arnott
Spezza
Last 10: Arnott 3-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Arnott
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
3
Arnott
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
54.4% (7,990)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
56.8% (1,726)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
52.7% (643)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Arnott
Spezza
Home
52.1% (891)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
48.2% (772)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Arnott
Spezza
P1
46.1%
55.7%
P2
53.6%
54.4%
P3
50.1%
54.1%
OT
71.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |