Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Smithson 55.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 88.7%
Defensive zone
Smithson 66.1%
Neutral zone
Arnott 64.5%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Arnott
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Arnott
Smithson
Last 7: Arnott 2-5 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Arnott
Smithson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
2
Arnott
Smithson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
1
Arnott
Smithson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
57.9% (518)
-7.4%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
40.0% (10)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.0% (108)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Arnott shoots right. Smithson is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Arnott
Smithson
Home
53.1% (431)
57.8% (306)
Away
46.7% (338)
54.6% (339)
By Period
Arnott
Smithson
P1
46.9%
51.8%
P2
52.9%
54.8%
P3
50.4%
62.0%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |