Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Vitale 54.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 81.6%
Defensive zone
Vitale 74.1%
Neutral zone
Arnott 56.1%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Arnott
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Arnott
Vitale
Last 6: Arnott 2-4 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
2
Arnott
Vitale
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
1
Arnott
Vitale
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Vitale
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
55.9% (1,771)
-6.2%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
76.0% (25)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
47.1% (297)
-7.1%
On power play, Vitale has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Home / Away
Arnott
Vitale
Home
52.1% (891)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
48.2% (772)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
Arnott
Vitale
P1
46.1%
52.9%
P2
53.6%
53.8%
P3
50.1%
57.5%
OT
71.4%
72.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |