Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Vitale 55.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 79.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 68.5%
Neutral zone
Arnott 58.2%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Arnott
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Arnott
Vitale
Last 6: Arnott 2-4 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
2
Arnott
Vitale
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
1
Arnott
Vitale
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Vitale
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
55.9% (646)
-5.4%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
100.0% (12)
-50.6%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
47.5% (61)
+12.5%
On power play, Vitale has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Arnott shoots right. Vitale is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Arnott
Vitale
Home
53.1% (431)
56.9% (383)
Away
46.7% (338)
54.4% (340)
By Period
Arnott
Vitale
P1
46.9%
51.5%
P2
52.9%
58.2%
P3
50.4%
56.8%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |