Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Letestu 52.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 72.6%
Defensive zone
Letestu 72.9%
Neutral zone
Letestu 55.6%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Arnott
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Arnott
Letestu
Last 10: Arnott 7-3 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
5
3
Arnott
Letestu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
3
Arnott
Letestu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Arnott
Letestu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
53.3% (4,565)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
56.0% (687)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
44.2% (1,005)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Arnott
Letestu
Home
52.1% (891)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
48.2% (772)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Arnott
Letestu
P1
46.1%
51.5%
P2
53.6%
55.0%
P3
50.1%
49.8%
OT
71.4%
51.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |