Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 61.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 81.0%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 74.2%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Arnott
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Arnott
Hanzal
Last 10: Arnott 6-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
3
Arnott
Hanzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
1
Arnott
Hanzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
54.0% (5,547)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
56.7% (1,179)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
46.0% (644)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Arnott
Hanzal
Home
52.1% (891)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
48.2% (772)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Arnott
Hanzal
P1
46.1%
54.9%
P2
53.6%
53.6%
P3
50.1%
52.4%
OT
71.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Apr 6, 2012 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |