Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Reasoner 53.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 79.3%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 78.1%
Neutral zone
Arnott 50.3%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Arnott
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
Arnott
Reasoner
Last 10: Arnott 6-4 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
6
2
Arnott
Reasoner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
4
8
Arnott
Reasoner
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
5
8
Arnott
Reasoner
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
55.7% (1,642)
-6.0%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
56.9% (72)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
45.5% (413)
-5.5%
On even strength, Reasoner has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Arnott
Reasoner
Home
52.1% (891)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
48.2% (772)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Arnott
Reasoner
P1
46.1%
53.1%
P2
53.6%
53.1%
P3
50.1%
55.3%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |