Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Lapierre 51.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 75.4%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 90.2%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 64.4%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Arnott
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Arnott
Lapierre
Last 8: Arnott 6-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
4
0
Arnott
Lapierre
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
2
Arnott
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
52.9% (2,085)
-3.2%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
53.1% (32)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
43.1% (415)
-3.1%
On even strength, Lapierre has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Arnott
Lapierre
Home
52.1% (891)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
48.2% (772)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Arnott
Lapierre
P1
46.1%
52.5%
P2
53.6%
50.7%
P3
50.1%
51.1%
OT
71.4%
41.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |