Scouting Report
Maxim Lapierre holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Lapierre 51.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 77.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 89.9%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 55.6%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Arnott
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Arnott
Lapierre
Last 7: Arnott 5-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
0
Arnott
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
2
Arnott
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
51.2% (422)
-0.7%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
66.7% (6)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
57.4% (54)
+2.6%
On power play, Lapierre has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Arnott shoots right. Lapierre is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Arnott
Lapierre
Home
53.1% (431)
54.4% (239)
Away
46.7% (338)
49.8% (243)
By Period
Arnott
Lapierre
P1
46.9%
49.4%
P2
52.9%
52.8%
P3
50.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |