Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.5%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Richards 50.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 74.6%
Defensive zone
Richards 55.0%
Neutral zone
Arnott 60.6%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Arnott
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
17
(26 meetings)
9
17
Arnott
Richards
Last 10: Arnott 2-8 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Arnott
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
7
Arnott
Richards
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
8
7
Arnott
Richards
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
50.0% (3,722)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
54.6% (445)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
51.4% (502)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Home / Away
Arnott
Richards
Home
52.1% (891)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
48.2% (772)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Arnott
Richards
P1
46.1%
49.6%
P2
53.6%
52.3%
P3
50.1%
49.3%
OT
71.4%
58.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:16 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Mike Richards |