Jason Arnott vs Mike Santorelli
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.4%). Look for Santorelli on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 52.2%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 60.7%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 62.8%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Arnott
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Arnott
Santorelli
Last 10: Arnott 2-8 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
3
4
Arnott
Santorelli
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
3
Arnott
Santorelli
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
4
Arnott
Santorelli
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
48.4% (1,835)
+1.3%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
56.0% (298)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
48.5% (132)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Santorelli is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (722).
Home / Away
Arnott
Santorelli
Home
52.1% (891)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
48.2% (772)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Arnott
Santorelli
P1
46.1%
51.0%
P2
53.6%
49.7%
P3
50.1%
47.6%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |