Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 94.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 82.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Arnott
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Arnott
Thompson
Last 9: Arnott 7-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
6
0
Arnott
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Arnott
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
54.1% (5,812)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
54.8% (135)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
47.9% (1,381)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Arnott
Thompson
Home
52.1% (891)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.2% (772)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Arnott
Thompson
P1
46.1%
53.2%
P2
53.6%
52.9%
P3
50.1%
52.8%
OT
71.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2011 | OT | 02:48 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |