Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Thompson 53.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 94.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 79.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Arnott
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Arnott
Thompson
Last 8: Arnott 7-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
6
0
Arnott
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
56.1% (478)
-7.1%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
57.1% (14)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
47.6% (164)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Arnott is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Arnott shoots right. Thompson is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Arnott
Thompson
Home
51.1% (460)
55.2% (315)
Away
49.3% (434)
53.3% (349)
By Period
Arnott
Thompson
P1
45.3%
57.5%
P2
54.2%
54.2%
P3
49.8%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2011 | OT | 02:48 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |