Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.1%). Look for Sharp on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Sharp 50.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 63.2%
Defensive zone
Arnott 85.6%
Neutral zone
Arnott 55.7%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Arnott
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Arnott
Sharp
Last 8: Arnott 2-6 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
2
Arnott
Sharp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Sharp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sharp
1
4
Arnott
Sharp
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
50.4% (1,085)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
50.6% (180)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
40.9% (44)
-0.9%
On power play, Arnott has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Sharp is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Arnott
Sharp
Home
52.1% (891)
53.2% (688)
Away
48.2% (772)
46.7% (623)
By Period
Arnott
Sharp
P1
46.1%
48.0%
P2
53.6%
49.1%
P3
50.1%
51.7%
OT
71.4%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |