Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sharp on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Arnott wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Sharp 48.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 56.1%
Defensive zone
Arnott 50.4%
Neutral zone
Sharp 54.8%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Arnott
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Arnott
Sharp
Last 8: Arnott 2-6 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
2
Arnott
Sharp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Sharp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sharp
1
4
Arnott
Sharp
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
48.4% (442)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
45.7% (35)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
43.3% (30)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Sharp has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Arnott is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Arnott shoots right. Sharp is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Arnott
Sharp
Home
51.1% (460)
51.2% (242)
Away
49.3% (434)
45.1% (266)
By Period
Arnott
Sharp
P1
45.3%
49.7%
P2
54.2%
46.5%
P3
49.8%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |