Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Horak 43.9% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 91.4%
Defensive zone
Arnott 64.8%
Neutral zone
Arnott 78.0%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Arnott
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Arnott
Horak
Last 10: Arnott 7-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
2
Arnott
Horak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Horak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
0
Arnott
Horak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
41.8% (594)
+7.9%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
51.4% (37)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
57.9% (19)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Horak is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Arnott
Horak
Home
52.1% (891)
43.7% (325)
Away
48.2% (772)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Arnott
Horak
P1
46.1%
42.4%
P2
53.6%
44.2%
P3
50.1%
42.6%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |