Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 51.0%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 63.9%
Defensive zone
Arnott 56.3%
Neutral zone
Arnott 59.6%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Arnott
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Arnott
Stamkos
Last 10: Arnott 2-8 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Arnott
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Arnott
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Arnott
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
50.4% (9,799)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
55.1% (1,725)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
49.7% (825)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Arnott
Stamkos
Home
52.1% (891)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
48.2% (772)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Arnott
Stamkos
P1
46.1%
49.1%
P2
53.6%
52.7%
P3
50.1%
50.9%
OT
71.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |