Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 67.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 52.9%
Neutral zone
Arnott 57.6%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Arnott
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Arnott
Bozak
Last 10: Arnott 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
5
Arnott
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
48.0% (1,094)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Arnott
Bozak
Home
52.1% (891)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.2% (772)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Arnott
Bozak
P1
46.1%
53.2%
P2
53.6%
52.8%
P3
50.1%
54.5%
OT
71.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2011 | OT | 04:34 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |