Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +22.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boeser wins 26.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 41.9% vs Dickinson 49.5% (-22.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 88.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 69.1%
Neutral zone
Boeser 63.9%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Boeser
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Boeser
Dickinson
Last 7: Boeser 2-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
2
0
Boeser
Dickinson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Boeser
Dickinson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
3
Boeser
Dickinson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
31.3% (48)
51.5% (695)
-20.2%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
54.5% (11)
-54.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Boeser is 26.8% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Boeser shoots right. Dickinson is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Boeser
Dickinson
Home
23.8% (21)
53.6% (489)
Away
29.4% (34)
44.7% (427)
By Period
Boeser
Dickinson
P1
30.0%
47.7%
P2
25.0%
52.1%
P3
26.7%
47.8%
Final 5 min
27.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
27.3%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |