Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 53.1% vs Dickinson 50.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 65.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 70.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 58.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Wagner
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wagner
Dickinson
Last 5: Wagner 2-3 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Wagner
Dickinson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Dickinson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (44)
51.2% (912)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
42.9% (266)
+7.1%
On even strength, Wagner has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Home / Away
Wagner
Dickinson
Home
63.9% (36)
52.9% (664)
Away
50.0% (26)
46.7% (572)
By Period
Wagner
Dickinson
P1
66.7%
49.0%
P2
37.5%
48.3%
P3
64.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
63.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |