Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Guentzel wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 47.4% vs Dickinson 49.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 73.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 93.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 59.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Guentzel
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Guentzel
Dickinson
Last 5: Guentzel 5-0 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
5
0
Guentzel
Dickinson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (200)
51.8% (643)
-2.8%
Power Play
42.3% (111)
66.7% (9)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
38.7% (150)
+7.1%
On power play, Dickinson has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Guentzel shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Dickinson
Home
48.8% (166)
48.7% (419)
Away
44.4% (169)
50.4% (383)
By Period
Guentzel
Dickinson
P1
46.7%
42.6%
P2
48.5%
55.0%
P3
44.3%
50.0%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |