Jason Dickinson vs Justin Sourdif
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Sourdif 45.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 59.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 84.9%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 74.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Dickinson
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dickinson
Sourdif
Last 5: Dickinson 4-1 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Sourdif
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Sourdif
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Sourdif
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
44.6% (556)
+7.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
50.0% (24)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
61.5% (13)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Dickinson shoots left. Sourdif is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Sourdif
Home
48.7% (419)
43.6% (321)
Away
50.4% (383)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Dickinson
Sourdif
P1
42.6%
43.1%
P2
55.0%
43.9%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |