Jason Dickinson vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs McCarron 52.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 53.7%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 54.4%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Dickinson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Dickinson
McCarron
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Dickinson
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Dickinson
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
53.1% (672)
-1.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
18.2% (11)
+48.5%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
53.7% (205)
-15.0%
On power play, Dickinson has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Dickinson shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Dickinson
McCarron
Home
48.7% (419)
52.8% (477)
Away
50.4% (383)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Dickinson
McCarron
P1
42.6%
56.5%
P2
55.0%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
49.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |