Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Bonino 50.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 69.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 56.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 64.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Dickinson
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Dickinson
Bonino
Last 10: Dickinson 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Dickinson
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
5
0
Dickinson
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,223)
50.6% (8,315)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (136)
54.1% (972)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (845)
44.6% (1,693)
-3.8%
On power play, Bonino has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Dickinson is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,321).
Dickinson shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Bonino
Home
49.4% (2,705)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.7% (2,499)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Dickinson
Bonino
P1
47.1%
50.6%
P2
48.2%
48.5%
P3
47.3%
51.1%
OT
52.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:07 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |