Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 88.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 77.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 60.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Last 6: Dickinson 2-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Dickinson
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Dickinson
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
45.9% (665)
+5.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
46.8% (111)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
50.0% (24)
-11.3%
On power play, Dickinson has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Dickinson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Home
48.7% (419)
44.7% (409)
Away
50.4% (383)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Dickinson
Schmaltz
P1
42.6%
40.3%
P2
55.0%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |