Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 48.5%). Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Nash 48.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 58.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 58.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 51.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Dickinson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Dickinson
Nash
Last 10: Dickinson 6-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Dickinson
Nash
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,223)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (136)
51.0% (249)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (845)
44.9% (550)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Dickinson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,883).
Dickinson shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Nash
Home
49.4% (2,705)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
45.7% (2,499)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Dickinson
Nash
P1
47.1%
49.0%
P2
48.2%
47.9%
P3
47.3%
48.0%
OT
52.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.6%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | OT | 02:53 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |