Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Hartman 45.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 86.3%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 55.8%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Dickinson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Dickinson
Hartman
Last 9: Dickinson 6-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
44.8% (830)
+7.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
47.8% (92)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
37.5% (16)
+1.2%
On power play, Dickinson has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Dickinson shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hartman
Home
48.7% (419)
45.0% (515)
Away
50.4% (383)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Dickinson
Hartman
P1
42.6%
46.5%
P2
55.0%
39.9%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |