Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 54.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 88.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 66.6%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Dickinson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Dickinson
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Dickinson
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Dickinson
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
53.2% (823)
-1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
55.3% (159)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
48.4% (95)
-9.7%
On power play, Dickinson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Monahan
Home
48.7% (419)
54.6% (529)
Away
50.4% (383)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Dickinson
Monahan
P1
42.6%
49.0%
P2
55.0%
55.4%
P3
50.0%
53.6%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
44.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |