Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Zegras 35.4% (+19.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 60.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 93.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 76.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Dickinson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dickinson
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
29.6% (230)
+22.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
32.1% (56)
+34.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
100.0% (1)
-61.3%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +61.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Zegras
Home
48.7% (419)
30.6% (147)
Away
50.4% (383)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Dickinson
Zegras
P1
42.6%
33.0%
P2
55.0%
31.7%
P3
50.0%
25.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |