Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pominville wins 36.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pominville 49.3% vs Bozak 52.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pominville 74.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 63.7%
Neutral zone
Pominville 56.7%
Result
Jason Pominville favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Pominville
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Pominville
Bozak
Last 8: Pominville 3-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
5
Pominville
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pominville
2
0
Pominville
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pominville
1
0
Pominville
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pominville
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (47)
52.8% (697)
+6.8%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
50.9% (171)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
53.3% (195)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Pominville is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Pominville shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Pominville
Bozak
Home
47.3% (55)
52.1% (530)
Away
50.0% (50)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Pominville
Bozak
P1
33.3%
54.1%
P2
56.9%
50.6%
P3
44.0%
53.4%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pominville
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Jason Pominville |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Jason Pominville |
| Jan 29, 2013 | OT | 02:32 | Neutral | Jason Pominville |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |