Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Vermette wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs Spezza 53.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Vermette
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Vermette
Spezza
Last 10: Vermette 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
8
Vermette
Spezza
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
4
Vermette
Spezza
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
6
Vermette
Spezza
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
53.0% (998)
+1.7%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
58.5% (248)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
50.0% (16)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Vermette is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Vermette shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Vermette
Spezza
Home
56.8% (694)
56.4% (626)
Away
54.1% (883)
51.7% (636)
By Period
Vermette
Spezza
P1
52.5%
56.9%
P2
56.8%
51.9%
P3
56.7%
53.9%
OT
55.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |