Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lander on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 50.4% vs Spezza 54.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Lander leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lander 64.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 56.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Lander
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Lander
Spezza
Last 10: Lander 6-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
9
Lander
Spezza
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
9
0
Lander
Spezza
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
5
Lander
Spezza
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,468)
54.4% (7,990)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.8% (104)
56.8% (1,726)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (272)
52.7% (643)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Lander is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (710).
Lander shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Lander
Spezza
Home
52.2% (929)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
48.6% (915)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Lander
Spezza
P1
46.4%
55.7%
P2
52.8%
54.4%
P3
52.3%
54.1%
OT
30.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |